Tag Archive | rants

Warning! Warning! Danger, Will Robinson!

In the old campy sci-fi series “Lost In Space” from the 1960s, the Robinson family’s robot frequently threw its arms around shouting “Warning! Warning! Danger, Will Robinson!” to warn the youngest member of the family that something bad was about to happen.

And okay, I’m going to make give you a warning and this market call for y’all now.

In the summer of 2007, before the Great Recession fully broke, I saw two hedge funds totally collapse based on housing bond investments. Those bonds were very shaky. That, to me, was the beginning of the end of the bull run market of the 2001-2009 time period. Two major banks collapsed over the following 15 months – Bear Stearns (March 2008) followed by Lehman Brothers (September 2008).

In July 2026, an AI investment hedge fund, Situational Awareness, lost 78% of its value in 3 days. This, to me, is a trigger event. It’s time to pay close attention to markets.

Hedge fund collapses, when they happen, are normally caused by losses between 5%-20% of their portfolio. When a hedge fund collapses because of massive losses in the ranges of 80%-90% of assumed value, this means those assets are worthless! And there are hundreds of billions of dollars of such investments across the entire US, with many pension funds and 401Ks invested in such questionable instruments. How much of your money is tied up in worthless investments right now?

The US banking and investment industry has over a trillion dollars invested in AI alone. Every single day. the AI bubble is looking worse than the internet bubble of 2001.

Right now no AI company is making a profit. None, nada, zip. They are licensing seats at thousands of dollars per seat and still losing money! Does this remind you of the dot-com bubble of 2001? How many companies were going to make amazing profits “real soon now”? Goldman Sachs is predicting one AI chipmaker will see 180% growth in stock share valuation in the next 12 months. Where can such value come from if nobody is making a profit?

Another $650 billion is currently slated for investment in AI data centers from Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), Amazon, and Meta alone, never mind the smaller players.

In the first half of 2026, AI investment in the US alone was $331 billion dollars in an industry that still shows no profits from any of its players!

Wired Magazine sounded the alarm a few years ago that AI is a bubble but now the signs are worsening that this bubble is close to bursting.

I don’t know what to tell you when Trump is wrecking the dollar, running record deficits, and US bond interest rates are rising dangerously (bond prices falling, in other words).

When bond prices fall and stock markets collapse, there are few safe havens left but this bubble feels like it’s close to going boom. And when it goes boom, with Trump wrecking the dollar and US Bonds, I don’t know how bad it can get but it won’t be pretty.

Please take care of yourselves if you have retirement investments. The market isn’t collapsing yet but there are strong warning signs all over. Try to evaluate where you want your retirement funds invested if you have the option and try to find somewhere safe because AI is not the safe or wise investment right now.

If Defending The Human Rights Of Any Group Is A Purity Test, Then You’ve Outed Yourself As Being Pro-Genocide

I recently responded to a white cishet man who presented himself as a Democrat that trans people must forgive Representative Robert Vindman for voting against the safety of trans kids. Below is my response to him. I’ve linked the article that generated this response after said man said this was a “purity test” that would hurt Democrats generally.


Virginia congressman’s meeting with transgender Democrats erupts into profanity. Then he walked out.

Nobody gets to declare themselves an ally then betray that community. He betrayed that community, period, full stop.

Hopefully, he learned something in this exchange. Just because he is a loving parent doesn’t mean every parent is. He had actual trans people explaining this to him and he refused to listen.

I guarantee the entire LGBTQ community would have been up in arms if the bill had included outing gay kids because they’ve lived through this too.

LGBTQ kids are 5%-10% of the total under 18 population, based on different attempts to measure that number. Yet LGBTQ kids are over 40% of homeless children. Of the remaining 60% of homeless kids, the overwhelming majority left home voluntarily. Of that 40% who are LGBTQ, 99% left home because they were thrown out.

Vindman is refusing to listen to the lived experiences of trans people who came to talk to him. This is no different than a white man refusing to listen to the lived experiences of Black people and trying to justify a racist vote. It’s the exact same thing.

I want to ask you a question. Do you know what the Lemkin Institute is?

It is a private non-profit organization set up after WWII to try to identify and stop genocides before they become full blown mass killings. They have identified every single genocide in progress since WWII before it became mass murder. They also have never successfully stopped a genocide before it became mass murder because Western governments refused to act.

The Lemkin Institute has issued three separate warnings that the Trump administration is on track to commit genocide of transgender people. Such a warning has never been issued against the United States before. Yet now we have 3 warnings from the Lemkin Institute.

If they are as successful as they’ve been in the past, assholes like you will be erecting monuments to dead trans people saying “Who could have seen it coming?” and “I wonder what we could have done to stop it?” once this is all over.

Yet some huge number of trans people are going to end up dead if this continues down this road. And now we have Democrats piling on to the genocidal actions of the Trump administration.

Genocides start by identifying the target, dehumanizing the target, making them an enemy that the majority no longer cares about, separating them from the “good” majority (often for their own “safety”), and then eventually, mass killing them as a final solution.

The Trump administration is actively engaged in those first three actions listen above and Republicans across the nation are calling for trans people to be segregated from public life. Some are already calling for them to be “rounded up”. What do you think comes after “rounding up” trans people?

The only expectation I have from any Democrat is that they are not bendable on human rights. Because any Democrat willing to throw one group under the bus has proved himself willing to throw other groups under the bus.

Vindman is a privileged white man who refused to listen to trans voters or Black voters who tried to talk to him then tried to justify his actions against human rights as “being a parent”.

Fuck Vindman. If that’s the sort of Democrat he is, trans voters don’t need him as a representative, because, to us, he’s no different from a Republican.

And don’t bring up other rights and freedoms of other groups because if we’re being put in camps, what good are those “freedoms” to us?

Wrong Life

This was written by a friend. I have attempted to strip any identifying information from the original piece to protect the author. It expresses how it feels to be transgender in America in 2026. Right now, in 2026, transgender people are the target of government genocide. Each step becomes more explicit. Each action becomes more violent towards the trans community. This is how The Holocaust happened. You are living through such a moment right now. What you do, other than just posting on social media, will determine what happens to trans adults and children in the near future. If you let them murder us without a fight, you are complicit.

Wrong Life

Every once a while I encounter a quote that brings me up short and helps re-frame how I see the world. Such is the case when I came across this quote by Theodore Adorno as I researched the rise of Nazi Germany, and the origins of the Holocaust:

“A wrong life cannot be lived rightly”

Out of context I interpreted it to mean that if a person is the wrong sort of life (e.g. Jewish, Sinti, disabled) nothing that person can do can grant them the grace of being “one of the good ones.” No matter their character, achievements, capability, “wrong life” can only have a negative value to society. The only way to balance the equation is to eliminate that wrong life and bring the sum to zero on both sides.

This thought stopped me in my tracks, and I could hear the paradigm shift without a clutch, because it explained everything I was both feeling, and seeing over the past year. It was the grand unification theorem of my inner world, and what I was seeing that was external to me.

I am wrong life. And despite my efforts to live rightly, it simply does not matter. Nothing I can do will change the equation, other than my eradication. Internally, this realization is what fuels my anger. I genuinely tried to be a good person and contribute in ways that are lauded in others. I’m angry at the breaking of the American compact that supposedly we should be judged by the content of our character, and not government fiat that people like me are incapable of leading “honorable” or “disciplined” lives. I’m furious at the hypocrisy and having wasted my life trying to earn a place in a country that ultimately decided I must be destroyed.

But none of it matters. My government, and the people that voted for it, have declared me wrong life, and there’s nothing I can do to change it. Indeed, the President explicitly ran on the idea that I am wrong life was a feature and not a bug. The GOP spent hundreds of millions of dollars spreading the narrative that anyone who doesn’t want wrong life eliminated is against the herrenvolk.

At the same time, this sentence helps me understand why this level of bigotry reminds me more of the Holocaust than other civil rights atrocities in American history. For most other marginalized groups in American history it was still possible to be one of “the good ones”. For black people, there was room for acceptance of those who “knew their place”. Whites needed them for their labor. Indeed, the South fought the Civil War because they needed slavery for their economy. Japanese Americans were interned but allowed to fight in the European Theater of Operations. Hispanics were long used for their agricultural labor or valued as reliable Republican voters in Florida. Their lives had less value than other Americans, but it wasn’t a negative number.

Mine is.

And that’s the fundamental difference between the oppression and demonization of transgender people today, and the civil rights issues of the past. It’s also why the policies being enacted look far more like Nazi efforts to push Jews and LGBT people out of Germany as non-citizens of the Reich than previous government efforts to keep certain classes of people “in their place” as second class citizens.

This quote snapped into place why I have felt far more comfortable framing current events within the scope of German history than the US. It’s also the most useful framework for understanding why Republicans are targeting transgender people with literally over a 1000 bills per year designed to make life impossible enough that they either leave the country, detransition, or live in a country where they aren’t allowed to leave their houses for fear of arrest because a minor might see them in public.

They see us as wrong life. And even those who do not see us as such are willing to go along with it because it is the dark side of politics: it looks like the quick and easy path to power to take this position in public. Any Republican that does not behave as if transgender people are all wrong life is likely to be forced out of the party, and away from the levers of power.

I have expressed some of these frustrations before, and people have expressed sentiments along the lines of “well, I don’t think of you that way.” While appreciative of such support, they simply don’t matter because the people who express these thoughts have no institutional power. My own sense of self worth is completely irrelevant to this equation, and changes nothing in practice. Neither do the sentiments of people with no authority.

Not to put too fine a point on it, but my sense of self-esteem, and what some powerless people think about me, is meaningless if my transgender son and I are spending our last moments holding our breath and trying to claw our way through concrete with our fingernails while taking a “shower” with 100 strangers. All it provides is a further sense that the situation is unjust. It does nothing to keep me alive in the face of a movement that controls the government and has officially declared us to be “wrong life.”

Only the government’s opinion matters. And no matter what I do, I cannot be anything other than wrong life in their eyes, and the eyes of the people keeping the government in power. That government has made it clear it intends to remain in power in perpetuity at any cost. I will always be wrong life if I remain in the United States. The only way to change the equation to zero without expiring is to remove myself from the equation the same way Jews did from Germany: by emigrating to a place where their lives can have some value greater than zero.

I want my life to have a positive value again as seen by the people who matter. I cannot express how much of a relief it will be when I do not have to spend every waking moment aware of being wrong-life. If you wondered what being trans in America is like today, here you find my soul laid bare in Hell.

America Was Never Great

I’m copying this post from Facebook, so I have it available. The original post is by historian Jermaine Fowler. This is his work, reproduced here simply for easy reference. (Facebook is not a reliable reference.)

November 01, 2025 (Saturday)

On June 5, 1934, about a year and a half after Adolf Hitler became Chancellor of the Reich, the leading lawyers of Nazi Germany met to plan what became the Nuremberg Laws, the centerpiece of Nazi racial legislation. A stenographer recorded every word—ink on paper, archived where most Americans will never look.

The transcript reveals something we’d rather not remember: the meeting opened with a detailed memorandum on the race laws of the United States.

For hours, these Nazi lawyers debated American legal precedents. They discussed whether to bring Jim Crow segregation to Germany. They analyzed anti-miscegenation statutes from thirty American states. They examined how the U.S. classified and constrained the citizenship and political status of colonized peoples (including Native Americans and Filipinos) across different eras.

They were particularly impressed by the “one-drop rule”—some states defined anyone with even one Black ancestor, however distant, as Black.

And here’s the part that should haunt us: as Yale law professor James Q. Whitman documents in Hitler’s American Model, some Nazi jurists considered parts of U.S. racial law too extreme to implement in 1934.

Let that settle in. The architects of the Holocaust looked at Jim Crow and thought, “That might be going too far.”

This meeting reveals what Black intellectuals had been warning about for years: Jim Crow was more than a failure of American democracy. It was American fascism, fully operational. Impressive enough that the Nazis used it as their blueprint.

We prefer to think of fascism as something foreign, something that happened over there. But as Whitman documented, America in the early 20th century was “the leading racist jurisdiction in the world,” and Nazi lawyers knew it.

Here’s the problem: fascism has an American accent, but we’ve trained ourselves not to hear it. We know the Berlin book burnings but not the Tulsa massacre (1921), where a prosperous Black neighborhood was bombed from the air and burned to ash. We remember Kristallnacht but forget Rosewood (1923), where an entire Black town was erased.

We teach the Nuremberg trials but not Buck v. Bell (1927), where the Supreme Court legalized forced sterilization with the words “three generations of imbeciles are enough.” We built concentration camps for Japanese Americans (1942–1945) while fighting fascism abroad.

The U.S. ran medical experiments on Black men in Tuskegee (1932–1972) for forty years. We turned convict leasing into slavery by another name, we drew redlining maps (1930s onward) that still determine who builds wealth and who doesn’t, and we did all of it with legal precision and bureaucratic efficiency.

That’s not a catalog of failures. That’s fascism with American characteristics. And our refusal to name it has let it survive, adapt, and return.

While most Americans remained blind to the fascist system in their own country, Black intellectuals saw it clearly. They lived inside it.

W.E.B. Du Bois, writing in the 1930s and ‘40s, explicitly connected Jim Crow to European fascism. He argued that American racial oppression had anticipated Nazi Germany. When McCarthyism emerged, Du Bois warned that anti-communist repression was “American fascism” that “would use the negroes much as Hitler used the Jews.” Hyperbole? Not at all. He was being precise.

Claudia Jones, a Black Communist organizer, spent the 1940s and ‘50s warning that Jim Crow, union-busting, and political repression constituted a fascist system. When she was put on trial in 1948, she told the court she was fighting “the fascist drive on free speech and thought in our country.” For this, she was imprisoned, then deported.

Richard Wright published Native Son in 1940 and explicitly compared the psychology that created Bigger Thomas to the psychology that produced Nazi Germany. He was sounding an alarm. It went unheard.

Fringe voices? No. They were intellectuals with intimate knowledge of American fascism, describing exactly what they saw. We refused to call it by its name.

Jim Crow was a complete political system.

One-party rule? The Democratic Party controlled the South absolutely, just as fascist parties controlled their states.

Political violence? Thousands of lynchings, with state protection for perpetrators and zero convictions.

Racial hierarchy as explicit state policy? Enshrined in law from the Black Codes of 1865 through Plessy v. Ferguson (1896) to the dismantling that finally began with Brown v. Board (1954) and the Voting Rights Act (1965).

Economic exclusion? Sharecropping, wage theft, segregation that destroyed wealth accumulation.

Extrajudicial killing? Spectacle lynchings where towns gathered, took photographs, sold postcards.

This was a fascist system, running in America for a century. We just called it something else.

The Voting Rights Act didn’t end the system. It regulated it. And for sixty years, we’ve been systematically removing those regulations.

The Supreme Court gutted preclearance requirements in Shelby County v. Holder (2013). Voter ID laws proliferate. Polling places close in Black neighborhoods. Voter rolls are purged using the same logic as literacy tests—technical requirements that seem neutral but function to exclude.

Then 2025 arrived. The components rebooted in public.

Remember the components of the Jim Crow fascist system? They’re roaring back, operating in plain sight.

One-party rule? Republican-controlled state legislatures have gerrymandered themselves into permanent power. In several states, precision-drawn maps have produced durable majorities from minority vote shares, letting parties pre-decide outcomes before ballots are cast.

Manipulation of citizenship? Orders and drafts targeting birthright citizenship revive a legal architecture the Nazis studied—and it echoes here, the same state-by-state strategy that made Jim Crow untouchable for a century. Create the legal theory in friendly courts. Spread it through executive action. Let states enforce it locally.

Political violence with state protection? January 6th defendants are being pardoned and celebrated. Reporting shows federal voting-rights enforcement has receded—staff exodus, case withdrawals, and shifting priorities. Armed “observers” and intimidation resurface in Black and Latino precincts. No convictions. No consequences. The state protects the perpetrators—just like it did during Jim Crow.

Economic exclusion? DEI programs were ended by executive order, with knock-on effects in grants and contracting; parts of the contractor regime and equity rules are in flux or under court review. Wealth routes are narrowed by policy choices that systematically reduce opportunity and capital access.

Extrajudicial control? Police violence continues with qualified immunity intact. Mass deportation plans target mixed-status families, separating citizens from non-citizens using the same logic that once separated “Negro” from “white.” The cruelty is the system working as designed.

The question echoes across a century: Can states create second-class citizens? Under Trump 2.0, the answer is becoming clear. Not through mob violence this time but through executive orders, through captured courts, through laws that sound neutral but target with precision.

This is old Jim Crow putting its boots back on.

Stop asking if fascism is coming to America.

American fascism never left. We defeated its European students in 1945 but never dismantled the system they’d studied. We renamed it. We regulated it. We pretended the regulations were transformation.

The lawyers who met in 1934 would recognize what’s happening now. They’d see the same legal architecture, the same manipulation of citizenship, the same use of federalism to protect local oppression. They’d just be surprised we kept it running this long.

W.E.B. Du Bois saw it. Claudia Jones saw it. Richard Wright saw it. They told us exactly what it was. We ignored them because the truth was too uncomfortable.

This is the return of American Democracy to its original form, the one impressive enough that fascists crossed an ocean to study it.

Picture the ledger books from 1934, still filed in Berlin archives. Picture the voter rolls being purged in Georgia right now. Picture the same elegant legal language, a century apart, doing the same ugly work.

How much longer will we pretend it ever left?

You Did This

This is to every single person who told me I was “hysterical” for predicting the rise of theocratic based fascism in the United States as long as 11 years ago (before Trump even announced his candidacy)

This is for every single person who told me “that can’t happen here”.

This is for every single person who said our institutions would save us.

The entire time, conservatives have said in advance, publicly, precisely how they would undermine everything, destroy every safeguard, seize control of every institution.

Even if a given court rules Trump in contempt of violating a court order, who’s going to arrest him now? Who’s going to enforce anything?

And now we have the first concentration camp since WWII. We have citizens being threatened with deportation. Kids being denied medical care. An entire group of human beings being actively erased from existence and history (that’s called “genocide” for you who are too f*cking stupid to get it).

Some of you are just NOW finally asking how do we mobilize against this to “save” our country? You should have mobilized a decade ago. In waiting til now to realize this, you’ve already lost. The United States of America is already dead. And you can’t face that, can you? You killed it by your inaction, your refusal to listen to what they openly said.

For those that can get out, do it as soon as you can. For those that can’t, your lives and the lives of your descendants for generations will become a living hell.

You were warned and ignored every warning. You deserve what’s coming. Those of us who told you don’t deserve this but we’re the direct targets. Our blood will be on your hands too. Trump didn’t do this alone. You let him.

Carry that guilt to your grave. And to every spineless Democrat in Congress seeking “common ground” with these fascists? May you burn in hell.